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Red58
943613.1
774816.4
774215.5
Blue73
880010.5
36467.4
1060926.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44452030405060705873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#10
26Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
40Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points12
58Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7748
#38
16.41.1
18.920.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End0.5
blue by 10.1
26.51.3
17.718.9
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Second
7742
#26
15.51.1
12.113.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 5.0
8800
#37
10.51.3
12.113.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Third
9436
#41
13.11.6
10.512.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.8
red by 5.7
3646
#45
7.41.3
10.812.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed