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Red75
1024411.2
1018019.7
603817.4
Blue44
815810.1
91740.8
826423.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801007544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
38Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points2
75Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.6
18.819.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
blue by 3.8
8264
#11
23.61.1
17.916.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
6038
#20
17.40.6
15.516.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 7.4
8158
#32
10.11.1
13.112.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
11.20.4
16.116.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
red by 10.4
9174
#50
0.81.1
5.64.5
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed