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Red44
96017.4
1042513.0
1024310.2
Blue39
81739.7
947314.1
743910.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294002060801001201404439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#5
16Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
22Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
44Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.00.3
13.113.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 1.1
9473
#14
14.10.6
11.711.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Second
10.20.3
10.811.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 0.5
7439
#44
10.80.6
9.89.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
9601
#34
7.40.2
4.04.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 2.3
8173
#19
9.70.6
13.813.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed