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Red46
944012.9
815323.9
Blue85
602523.0
878310.5
815956.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351030501504685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
12Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
30Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points6
46Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8153
#21
23.90.6
16.116.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 32.9
56.80.5
53.452.9
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
Second
9440
#29
12.90.6
13.614.2
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 10.1
23.00.5
23.823.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
7.60.6
8.69.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 2.9
8783
#35
10.50.8
8.98.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned