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Red32
565523.9
746515.1
708618.0
Blue86
1042841.3
85006.5
497213.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58732040801001203286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+50
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
17Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
32Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.5
20.918.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
blue by 17.4
41.30.9
36.737.6
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
Second
18.02.5
18.516.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2
red by 4.8
4972
#27
13.31.5
18.119.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
7465
#24
15.12.5
15.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 8.7
8500
#49
6.51.5
11.513.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed