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Red57
944116.9
1050211.8
757630.6
Blue138
645952.3
1013213.2
960964.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53129010015020057138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +29
9Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points32
9Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#16
24Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
42Total teleop84
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#9
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
57Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#25
30.60.4
27.727.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
blue by 33.5
64.21.6
58.059.6
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
Second
16.90.6
20.119.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 35.4
52.31.5
46.247.7
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Third
11.80.6
14.313.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
blue by 1.3
13.22.4
12.014.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned