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Red95
815956.8
603817.4
Blue63
1038315.5
774816.4
1042513.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94500204060801201401609563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
61Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
95Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.1
52.953.0
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 40.5
7748
#38
16.40.1
20.020.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End0.5
Second
6038
#20
17.40.1
16.216.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 1.9
15.50.1
17.317.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
7.80.1
11.311.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 5.3
13.00.1
13.313.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed