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Red17
36467.4
64159.8
81739.7
Blue17
91740.8
878310.5
944012.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320204060801001717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
1Coral scored#1
5Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop2
Reef
0L4#1
1L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
17Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#40
9.8
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 3.1
9440
#29
12.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Second
8173
#19
9.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 0.8
8783
#35
10.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Third
3646
#45
7.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.9
red by 6.6
9174
#50
0.8
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed