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Red60
1013213.2
947314.1
757630.6
Blue39
826423.6
926414.7
880010.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605202040801001206039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+31Teleop
+17Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
41Total teleop11
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
4Foul points0
60Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#25
30.60.2
27.327.5
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
red by 7.1
8264
#11
23.61.1
16.815.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
9473
#14
14.10.3
11.111.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
blue by 0.6
9264
#22
14.71.1
15.514.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
13.20.3
14.414.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 2.6
8800
#37
10.51.1
13.412.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned