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Red15
1050211.8
497213.3
746515.1
Blue14
1024310.2
943613.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50320204060801001514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
3Total teleop6
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#2
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
15Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7465
#24
15.13.4
12.79.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 2.0
9436
#41
13.12.3
12.19.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Second
4972
#27
13.33.4
19.616.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.0
End1.0
red by 3.0
10.22.3
11.08.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
11.83.4
13.710.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
red by 4.3
7.62.3
9.37.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed