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Red169
948372.4
960964.2
708618.0
Blue17
94514.1
815810.1
1059817.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1712305010015020025016917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+154Teleop
+146Endgame
+152Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
9Leave3
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
40Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +117
21Coral scored#0
77Coral points0
4Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
24Processor points0
16Net points0
40Algae points0
117Total teleop0
Reef
9L4#0
9L3#0
5L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
35Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +152
6Foul points0
169Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.41.0
71.872.9
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
red by 54.7
17.71.5
17.816.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End6.9
Second
64.21.0
59.660.6
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
red by 54.1
8158
#32
10.12.5
12.09.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
18.01.7
16.017.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2
red by 13.9
9451
#28
4.12.5
9.36.9
Auto2.7
Teleop0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned