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Red35
91855.0
85006.5
96017.4
Blue61
1018019.7
91609.0
757019.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215504060801003561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +11
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
22Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
35Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9601
#34
7.40.4
4.14.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 12.3
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Second
8500
#49
6.50.7
13.013.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 13.0
7570
#23
19.50.3
13.013.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Third
9185
#42
5.00.7
3.64.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
blue by 3.9
9160
#47
9.00.3
11.111.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned