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Red135
645952.3
923217.9
815323.9
Blue94
1060926.5
1042841.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897102040608010012014016013594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
84Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
24Foul points0
135Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.8
47.749.5
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
red by 11.0
41.31.7
37.639.4
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
Second
8153
#21
23.93.0
16.719.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 2.5
26.52.9
18.921.8
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Third
9232
#16
17.91.8
17.018.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.1
red by 10.1
7.82.9
11.514.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed