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Red67
743910.8
1013213.2
815810.1
Blue98
774215.5
1042841.3
915523.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30870204060801001201406798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+55
Endgame+47
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
4Coral scored#14
14Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
28Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
16Foul points0
67Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.21.1
14.715.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
blue by 28.1
41.31.8
39.441.1
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
Second
7439
#44
10.81.1
8.09.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 12.4
9155
#12
23.22.9
19.222.2
Auto3.7
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Third
8158
#32
10.11.1
9.610.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.6
blue by 5.5
7742
#26
15.51.8
13.114.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed