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Red112
746515.1
826423.6
645952.3
Blue47
923217.9
96017.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions912802040608010012014016011247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
70Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
112Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.32.5
49.552.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
red by 34.5
9232
#16
17.91.0
18.819.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Second
8264
#11
23.64.2
15.719.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
red by 15.7
7.91.7
8.29.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Third
7465
#24
15.14.2
9.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 7.7
9601
#34
7.41.0
4.65.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed