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Red12
774816.4
1024411.2
602523.0
Blue18
81739.7
91855.0
1050211.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72280204060801001201218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
2Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
7Total teleop3
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
12Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.03.2
23.620.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 11.2
11.81.1
10.39.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Second
7748
#38
16.43.2
20.116.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End0.5
red by 6.7
8173
#19
9.71.1
13.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Third
11.23.2
15.712.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
red by 6.2
9185
#42
5.01.1
4.33.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed