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Red9
36467.4
954510.8
91609.0
Blue58
815323.9
944116.9
497213.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366502080100120958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+47
Endgame+45
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +35
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop35
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points4
9Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9545
#39
10.83.0
12.39.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 13.2
8153
#21
23.90.2
19.719.5
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Second
9160
#47
9.03.0
11.38.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.5
blue by 7.9
16.90.2
19.819.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
3646
#45
7.43.0
12.19.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 5.9
4972
#27
13.30.2
16.116.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed