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Red15
774816.4
91740.8
Blue54
923217.9
565523.9
1013213.2
6%Model gave it94%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26690204060801001201554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+29
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#5
7Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
7Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points10
15Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7748
#38
16.40.9
16.916.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End0.5
blue by 7.5
23.91.4
21.019.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
Second
7.61.4
8.77.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 10.3
9232
#16
17.90.8
19.818.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Third
9174
#50
0.81.4
2.41.0
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.9
End1.0
blue by 12.4
13.21.4
15.814.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed