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Red91
602523.0
1060926.5
826423.6
Blue25
497213.3
36467.4
815810.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7738020601001201409125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +53
13Coral scored#1
48Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
58Total teleop5
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#0
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points10
91Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.53.2
22.025.1
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
red by 13.2
4972
#27
13.32.3
16.013.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Second
8264
#11
23.63.2
19.923.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
red by 13.5
8158
#32
10.12.3
10.78.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
23.01.9
20.422.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 15.6
3646
#45
7.42.3
9.16.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed