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Red374
1042841.3
960964.2
94514.1
Blue4
1042513.0
91855.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1314401001502002503003503744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+92Teleop
+92Endgame
+370Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave0
5Coral scored#0
25Coral points0
31Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +61
14Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
61Total teleop0
Reef
9L4#0
5L3#0
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +370
278Foul points0
374Total score4

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.21.8
62.260.4
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
red by 51.1
13.00.4
13.012.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Second
41.31.7
37.035.4
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
red by 33.7
7.65.1
7.612.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
9451
#28
4.12.1
15.513.4
Auto2.7
Teleop0.3
End1.1
blue by 0.9
9185
#42
5.05.2
15.09.8
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed