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Red17
1013213.2
91740.8
Blue25
1024310.2
757019.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475502040801001201725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+12
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +8
2Coral scored#3
6Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
10Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
4Foul points0
17Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.23.2
16.413.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
blue by 6.3
7570
#23
19.52.5
16.313.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Second
7.93.2
13.710.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 2.4
10.22.5
13.310.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
9174
#50
0.83.2
11.68.4
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.9
End1.0
blue by 7.0
7.87.6
7.815.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed