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Red49
954510.8
1018019.7
947314.1
Blue100
757019.5
708618.0
1060926.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5276020406010012014049100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+39
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
34Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#21
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points12
49Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.3
20.019.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
blue by 6.7
26.50.5
26.126.6
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Second
9473
#14
14.10.3
14.414.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
blue by 5.4
7570
#23
19.50.5
19.119.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Third
9545
#39
10.80.3
11.010.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 7.3
18.00.5
17.618.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2