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Red112
1042841.3
602523.0
926414.7
Blue51
915523.2
497213.3
944116.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9256020408010012014016011251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#7
61Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
75Total teleop40
Reef
12L4#3
4L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
112Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.6
41.542.2
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
red by 18.1
9155
#12
23.20.2
24.123.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Second
23.00.6
23.323.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 6.2
16.90.2
17.717.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
9264
#22
14.70.9
15.016.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End2.2
red by 1.4
4972
#27
13.30.2
14.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.0
End1.0