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Red129
948372.4
645952.3
Blue40
1059817.7
826423.6
923217.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15753010020012940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+91Teleop
+75Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +66
15Coral scored#2
54Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
78Total teleop12
Reef
10L4#1
3L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +89
14Foul points0
129Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.40.5
73.773.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
red by 48.9
8264
#11
23.60.7
24.323.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
52.30.5
53.653.1
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
red by 34.5
9232
#16
17.90.5
18.317.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Third
7.90.7
9.79.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 9.8
17.70.5
18.217.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End6.9