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Red105
565523.9
815323.9
757630.6
Blue79
757019.5
708618.0
1060926.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79640204010012014016010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
74Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
105Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#25
30.60.8
28.529.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
red by 4.2
26.50.6
25.526.1
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Second
8153
#21
23.91.1
20.821.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 4.4
7570
#23
19.50.6
18.519.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Third
23.91.1
20.721.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
red by 5.8
18.00.6
17.117.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2