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Red174
603817.4
815956.8
960964.2
Blue60
954510.8
1018019.7
947314.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16640010015020025017460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+106Teleop
+108Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
6Leave0
9Coral scored#2
45Coral points12
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +67
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points30
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
101Total teleop34
Reef
10L4#2
6L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +114
6Foul points0
174Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.5
62.262.7
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
red by 44.5
19.70.1
19.920.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Second
56.80.5
54.855.4
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 42.7
9473
#14
14.10.1
14.314.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Third
6038
#20
17.40.8
16.016.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 6.7
9545
#39
10.80.1
10.911.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End0.7