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Red164
603817.4
815956.8
960964.2
Blue89
565523.9
815323.9
757630.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158705010020025016489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+75Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave3
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points6
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
97Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#5
10L3#3
7L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
164Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.6
62.763.4
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
red by 33.5
7576
#25
30.60.4
29.329.6
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
Second
56.80.6
55.456.0
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 32.9
8153
#21
23.90.5
21.922.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
6038
#20
17.40.9
16.817.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
blue by 6.4
23.90.5
21.922.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8