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Red105
948372.4
645952.3
Blue74
1042841.3
602523.0
926414.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152825010020010574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
61Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points4
105Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.40.7
73.272.5
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
red by 31.1
41.30.3
42.241.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
Second
52.30.7
53.152.4
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
red by 29.3
23.00.3
23.923.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
7.91.0
9.08.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 6.8
9264
#22
14.70.4
16.015.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End2.2