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Red179
753960.1
1033717.4
960962.2
Blue78
694837.1
1054135.1
952322.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155955020025017978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+49Teleop
+73Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points24
24Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
101Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +101
28Foul points0
179Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.4
61.862.2
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
red by 25.1
6948
#11
37.10.6
37.737.1
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
60.10.4
59.760.1
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 25.0
35.10.6
35.735.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Third
17.40.4
17.017.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 4.6
9523
#17
22.00.6
22.622.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2