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Red139
753960.1
1033717.4
960962.2
Blue84
694837.1
1054135.1
952322.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156975020025013984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +43
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
93Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#5
9L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +55
4Foul points2
139Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.1
62.061.8
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
red by 25.1
6948
#11
37.10.5
38.237.7
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
60.10.1
59.959.7
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 25.0
35.10.5
36.235.7
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Third
17.40.1
17.117.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 4.6
9523
#17
22.00.5
23.122.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2