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Red110
753634.6
774820.6
821445.4
Blue125
694837.1
1054135.1
952322.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051018090110120130140110125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
83Total teleop79
Reef
12L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points2
110Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
45.145.4
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 8.3
6948
#11
37.10.9
37.338.2
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
34.60.3
34.334.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
blue by 0.5
35.10.9
35.336.2
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Third
7748
#32
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 1.4
9523
#17
22.00.9
22.223.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2