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Red62
687427.2
808425.6
923126.6
Blue97
694837.1
1054135.1
952322.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610340601201401601806297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
45Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +35
8Foul points6
62Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#25
27.20.9
28.127.2
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
blue by 9.9
6948
#11
37.10.1
37.437.3
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
9231
#12
26.60.9
27.526.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
blue by 8.5
35.10.1
35.435.3
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Third
8084
#19
25.60.9
26.525.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
red by 3.6
9523
#17
22.00.1
22.322.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2