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Red186
753960.1
1033717.4
960962.2
Blue86
753634.6
774820.6
821445.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521005020025018686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+64Teleop
+88Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points27
41Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
21Coral scored#10
77Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
107Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#3
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#19
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +100
12Foul points0
186Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.21.2
60.762.0
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
red by 16.8
45.40.5
45.645.1
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Second
60.11.2
58.659.9
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 25.5
34.60.5
34.834.3
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Third
17.41.2
15.817.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 3.3
7748
#32
20.60.5
20.820.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6