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Red26
774820.6
757625.9
1039617.3
Blue96
62289.9
951931.7
1023425.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575602040801001201402696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+58
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
4Coral scored#7
13Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
17Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points12
26Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#16
25.93.4
21.618.1
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
blue by 5.8
31.73.8
19.323.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.0
Second
7748
#32
20.63.4
15.111.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 5.0
25.73.8
17.721.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Third
17.33.4
14.210.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End1.1
red by 7.4
6228
#39
9.93.8
12.716.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned