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Red60
290517.6
908918.0
566533.9
Blue65
96015.5
807114.7
753634.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68610501001506065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
37Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
10Foul points0
60Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.1
23.722.7
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End2.7
blue by 0.7
34.61.1
23.424.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Second
9089
#21
18.01.1
16.615.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 3.3
8071
#42
14.71.1
15.416.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
2905
#27
17.61.1
19.218.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
red by 12.1
9601
#45
5.51.1
15.816.9
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed