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Red75
82632.5
1035313.4
753960.1
Blue42
1042215.9
90267.2
687427.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624802040801001207542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
5Coral points0
14Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
75Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.12.0
29.431.4
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 32.9
6874
#25
27.20.4
19.118.6
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Second
13.42.0
12.915.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 2.5
15.90.4
12.912.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Third
8263
#40
2.52.0
11.313.3
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.7
blue by 4.6
9026
#36
7.20.4
11.310.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed