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Red46
942214.3
698525.1
601420.8
Blue40
83088.9
1043217.1
1033422.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715302040801001201401604640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
26Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points8
46Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6985
#15
25.11.8
26.324.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End2.7
red by 2.4
22.71.9
14.813.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End2.4
Second
6014
#10
20.81.8
21.219.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
red by 3.7
17.11.9
19.517.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
9422
#18
14.31.8
14.612.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End2.3
red by 5.4
8308
#30
8.91.9
14.412.6
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned