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Red77
694837.1
952322.0
Blue86
821445.4
902011.3
1054135.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69592040801007786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
52Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points0
77Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#11
37.10.6
21.522.2
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
blue by 8.3
45.43.7
25.929.6
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Second
9523
#17
22.00.6
20.421.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
blue by 13.1
35.13.7
15.519.2
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
Third
10105
#44DQ
9.40.6
17.418.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 1.9
11.33.7
11.214.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed