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Red72
1020314.6
1069211.1
923126.6
Blue64
640224.4
1033717.4
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645202040801007264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
72Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9231
#12
26.60.5
18.619.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
red by 2.2
6402
#14
24.41.0
17.218.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Second
14.60.5
14.815.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End0.5
blue by 2.8
17.41.0
15.816.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
11.10.5
20.621.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
red by 4.6
6.61.0
13.514.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned