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Red96
1033717.4
1043217.1
694837.1
Blue6
623212.9
774212.3
1068910.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67420206080100966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+88Teleop
+88Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
3Leave0
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +65
14Coral scored#1
49Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
67Total teleop2
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#0
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
2Foul points0
96Total score6

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#11
37.13.8
22.226.0
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End1.9
red by 24.2
6232
#33
12.93.6
19.916.3
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Second
17.43.8
16.720.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
red by 5.0
7742
#24
12.33.6
8.75.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
17.13.8
17.621.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.4
red by 7.1
10.03.6
10.06.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed