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Red87
902011.3
601420.8
753960.1
Blue14
92474.5
808425.6
82632.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764602040601001208714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+63Teleop
+77Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
17Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +46
9Coral scored#1
34Coral points4
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
54Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points4
87Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.7
31.433.1
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End9.1
red by 34.5
8084
#19
25.64.5
21.717.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Second
6014
#10
20.81.7
19.421.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
red by 16.3
9247
#48
4.54.5
10.45.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Third
11.31.7
14.916.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 8.8
8263
#40
2.54.5
13.38.8
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed