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Red37
1042215.9
942214.3
807114.7
Blue40
577316.4
96015.5
1069211.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435901001502003740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#6
11Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
15Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
4Foul points0
37Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.0
12.511.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 0.5
5773
#34DQ
16.41.3
14.112.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Second
8071
#42
14.71.0
16.615.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 3.5
11.11.3
21.019.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Third
9422
#18
14.31.0
12.811.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End2.3
red by 8.8
9601
#45
5.51.3
16.915.6
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed