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Red79
90267.2
1039617.3
821445.4
Blue46
908918.0
774820.6
698525.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59585055606570757946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points11
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
0Processor points6
16Net points0
16Algae points6
54Total teleop17
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points2
79Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.43.1
29.632.7
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 20.3
6985
#15
25.10.9
24.523.6
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End2.7
Second
17.33.1
10.813.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 3.3
7748
#32
20.60.9
11.710.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Third
9026
#36
7.23.1
10.914.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 10.8
9089
#21
18.00.9
15.514.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned