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Red63
1006411.0
1023425.7
687427.2
Blue102
566533.9
1033422.7
753634.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64632030405070809010063102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
48Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
63Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#25
27.20.8
18.619.4
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
blue by 7.4
34.64.1
24.628.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Second
25.70.8
21.522.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
blue by 8.2
33.94.1
22.726.8
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End2.7
Third
11.00.8
13.314.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 11.7
22.74.1
13.017.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed