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Red20
83088.9
62289.9
Blue85
951931.7
290517.6
923126.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496901001502002085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+53
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
2Coral scored#12
6Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop53
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
20Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6228
#39
9.93.0
16.513.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.7
blue by 21.8
31.72.7
23.125.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.0
Second
10105
#44DQ
9.43.0
18.115.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 17.2
9231
#12
26.62.7
19.121.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
Third
8308
#30
8.93.0
12.69.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.4
End1.2
blue by 8.7
2905
#27
17.62.7
18.220.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned