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Red82
952322.0
960962.2
757625.9
Blue31
1020916.0
1020314.6
1035313.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92490204060801001201401608231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#2
37Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
49Total teleop12
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
8Foul points8
82Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.6
40.039.4
Auto11.1
Teleop41.5
End9.6
red by 46.3
10209
#46DQ
16.02.7
17.114.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
7576
#16
25.90.6
18.117.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 11.3
14.62.7
15.312.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End0.5
Third
9523
#17
22.00.6
21.020.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
red by 8.7
13.42.7
15.012.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed