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Red75
601420.8
1054135.1
92474.5
Blue67
1043217.1
640224.4
96015.5
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546701001507567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+24Teleop
+20Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
50Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points12
75Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.12.2
20.823.0
Auto7.5
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 10.7
6402
#14
24.41.2
19.718.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Second
6014
#10
20.82.2
21.123.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
red by 3.7
17.11.2
21.420.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
9247
#48DQ
4.52.2
5.88.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 1.0
9601
#45
5.51.2
15.614.4
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned