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Red27
923126.6
1039617.3
774212.3
Blue64
952322.0
290517.6
687427.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427102060801001201402764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +29
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
16Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
0L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
27Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9231
#12
26.61.5
21.820.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
blue by 0.6
6874
#25
27.20.1
19.419.5
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Second
17.31.5
13.912.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 4.7
9523
#17
22.00.1
20.520.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Third
7742
#24
12.31.5
5.13.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End0.6
blue by 5.3
2905
#27
17.60.1
20.921.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed