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Red8
601420.8
82632.5
Blue49
942214.3
774820.6
623212.9
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49481020304060849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
3Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points12
8Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6014
#10
20.83.7
23.319.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
red by 0.2
7748
#32
20.60.6
12.912.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Second
6.63.7
7.33.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 7.7
9422
#18
14.30.6
17.917.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Third
8263
#40DQ
2.53.7
10.97.1
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.7
blue by 10.4
6232
#33
12.90.6
11.711.1
Auto1.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed