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Red52
1006411.0
96015.5
951931.7
Blue63
1069211.1
902011.3
698525.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69582040801001205263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
52Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.72.6
31.929.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.0
red by 6.5
6985
#15
25.10.2
24.724.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End2.7
Second
11.02.6
16.914.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 0.3
11.30.2
14.714.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
9601
#45
5.52.6
14.411.8
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 5.6
11.10.2
15.114.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed